Friday 26 Apr 2024
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SINGAPORE (Nov 14): Malaysia could see negative impact from lower oil prices as the 2019 budget had factored in oil at $70 per barrel, Morgan Stanley analysts led by Sean Gardiner write in a note.

* Indonesia could see some current account reprieve as Brent prices have fallen 25% from their October peak to $65.35 per barrel. Oil and gas imports amounted to almost $4b in 3Q as oil prices rose towards $85/barrel, which added upward pressure on the Indonesian current account deficit 

* Philippines could also see positive impact as rising oil prices had been one of three sources of inflation

* Morgan Stanley sees neutral impact on Singapore, where banks have “worked through most of oil related credit quality issues” from 2015/2016; offshore and marine companies could see near-term pressures

* In Thailand, refiners could benefit on supply constraints but chemical shares are still facing excess supply 


 

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