Hong Leong : Take profit on Dayang after peak 200% return

-A +A

KUALA LUMPUR (March 19): Hong Leong Investment Bank Bhd downgraded its Dayang Enterprise Holdings Bhd share recommendation to sell from buy on the belief that the market is pricing in much stronger earnings expectations, which may not be sustainable for the oil and gas support services provider.

In a note today, Hong Leong analyst Sean Lim Ooi Leong said the research firm had however increased its sum-of-the-parts (SOP)-driven target price (TP) for Dayang  to RM1.15 from 91 sen following an earnings adjustment for financial years ending Dec 31, 2019 (FY19) and 2020 (FY20).

"We increase FY19-20 earnings by 26% and 12% to RM115.6m and RM108.8m with more bullish assumption of VOs (variation orders) kicking in as well as better margins from the work orders received. 

"Post earnings adjustment, our SOP-driven TP is increased to RM1.15 (from 91 sen). Since our upgrade to buy in Oct last year, share price has delivered a peak return of 200% before declining -18% this week. We advocate investors to take profit on the stock. Downgrade to sell as we believe the market is currently pricing in much stronger earnings expectations which may not be sustainable," Lim said.

At Bursa Malaysia today, Dayang shares settled 19 sen or 11.7% down at RM1.43 with some 67 million units traded. Dayang had emerged among Bursa Malaysia's most-active stocks.

Lim said Hong Leong's note today on Dayang followed a meeting with the company. He said the meeting yielded key takeaways on Dayang's contracts and orderbook. 

"Current orderbook stands at RM2.9bn including pan Malaysia maintenance, construction and modification (PM-MCM) contracts from different PSCs (production sharing contracts). Apart from existing contracts, Dayang is expected to receive additional lump sum work orders from clients. We understand there are also some VOs that have been carried out last year. All the VO costs have been recognised last year and its profits will be booked in 1HFY19, pending client approval," Lim said.