This article first appeared in The Edge Malaysia Weekly on August 24, 2020 - August 30, 2020
TO draw foreign investments to Malaysia’s automotive sector, UMW Toyota Motors Sdn Bhd (UMWT) president Ravindran K contends that it is essential for the National Automotive Policy (NAP) to provide a standardised, long-range policy that benefits manufacturers. He is also of the opinion that in addition to standardised incentives, fiscal measures such as tax exemptions that can reduce the cost of assembling and producing cars and auto parts here should be introduced to attract foreign investments.
“To attract foreign automakers to set up more assembly lines here, the cost of doing so must be lower than in any other country. Therefore, fiscal measures such as tax exemptions will prove suitable incentives for foreign investments,” Ravindran tells The Edge in an email interview.
UMWT, one of the biggest players in the domestic automotive industry, was established in 1982 through a joint venture between Toyota Motor Corp and UMW Holdings Bhd. More than 1.5 million cars have been produced here since Toyota set up a plant in Shah Alam in 1968.
In 2016, UMWT spent RM1.8 billion on a second plant in Bukit Raja, Klang, which was designed to be one of the most advanced car assembly plants in the world. The plant began operations in January 2019, starting with the production of energy-efficient vehicles (EEVs) Vios and Yaris, the marque’s best-selling models in Malaysia, contributing 56% of its sales this year as at end-July.
The second plant can produce 50,000 vehicles a year. UMWT projects an average utilisation rate of 64% this year because production was interrupted by the Movement Control Order (MCO) implemented to contain the spread of Covid-19.
Ravindran says the preference for Vios and Yaris among Toyota’s current line-up shows that the market prefers EEVs. Thus, government policies should focus on positioning Malaysia as a regional hub for the manufacture of environmentally friendly vehicles, he adds.
Until end-July, UMWT had sold a total of 25,978 units, or 58% of its sales target of 45,000 units this year. It recorded its highest monthly sales last month, with 7,509 units sold, representing 70% more than the number sold in June.
The company believes it will be able to achieve this year’s sales target provided that the special sales tax exemption is extended until the end of the year.
The Bukit Raja plant is among the biggest investments in the industry in recent years. When announcing the venture in 2016, UMWT executive director Akio Takeyama stressed that the plant would cater for bigger capacity requirements as well as ensure technological improvements.
Asked if Toyota will continue to invest in Malaysia, Ravindran says UMWT is continually exploring options aligned with the NAP to increase its footprint in the country, particularly in the introduction of new locally assembled models. Year to date, apart from the improved Toyota Alphard, Vellfire and Hilux, the all-new Lexus UX200 as well as Toyota RAV4 have been added to its line-up.
Hafriz Hezry, an analyst with MIDF Research, says in a June 16 report that there are gaps in Toyota’s mass-market sport utility vehicle (SUV) offerings. “We had indicated the possibility of localising the CHR previously [a completely built-up unit is currently priced at RM150,000], but we expected this to happen only after the facelift is launched.
“The two CKD launches will coincide with the 6½-month tax holiday. This should give UMWT a strong total industry volume uplift in 2H2020 and contribute towards Bukit Raja’s pre-tax breakeven.”
(UMWT had previously indicated that there would be two CKD launches this year.)
Malaysia has been losing investments to its neighbours for a while now. Last November, Hyundai Motor Co announced it would invest US$1.55 billion (RM6.47 billion) in an assembly plant in Bekasi, Indonesia — the first Hyundai-owned plant in Southeast Asia.
In Thailand, Toyota’s three plants already boast a combined annual production capacity of 770,000 units. In 2018, the company — which began production in Thailand in 1962 — rolled out its 10 millionth car in the country.
How does Toyota view Malaysia’s position in Southeast Asia? Ravindran says that in terms of production, the Japanese carmaker regards Malaysia as an important market with one of the most advanced plants globally.
“With 45% automation over two shifts, it serves as a practical implementation of the future of automotive manufacturing. The technological spillover will undoubtedly enhance the possibility of more plants like Bukit Raja opening in the future,” he adds.
The automotive segment is the largest contributor to UMW Group’s revenue and profit. However, because of the MCO, revenue and pre-tax profit for the segment plunged 26.7% and 56.8% year on year (y-o-y) in the first quarter ended March 31 to RM1.59 billion and RM53.7 million respectively.
UMW recorded a net profit of RM44.3 million for the quarter, 48% lower than the previous corresponding quarter, on revenue of RM2.12 billion, 23.8% lower y-o-y.
MIDF Research’s Hafriz has a “buy” call on UMW at a sum-of-parts derived target price of RM3.40, which is at the high end of the range. The lowest is RM1.80 by Kenanga Investment Bank Research.
According to Hafriz, key catalysts for the group include a turnaround in group earnings from the third quarter, driven by the automotive division, potential launches of mass-market CKD SUV models as well as the commencement of the Trent 7000 aircraft engine assembly in the fourth quarter of the year. “The key risk to our call is a second wave of the pandemic and a weaker-than-expected demand recovery,” he says in the report.
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