Thursday 18 Apr 2024
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KUALA LUMPUR (Dec 31): Ringgit strengthens for a fourth day after U.S. President Donald Trump reported progress in trade talks with his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping.

* USD/MYR drops 0.2% to 4.1450, taking its decline in December to 0.9%

** Ringgit has still weakened 2.4% vs USD in 2018, heading for a fifth annual loss in six years

* USD/MYR is likely to trade in line with regional FX in near term and 4.12-4.14 range will be the level to watch, says Mingze Wu, a foreign-exchange trader at INTL FCStone Global Payments in Singapore

** EM FX are expected to remain volatile due to swings in equity markets, although there will be some relief as Trump’s attacks on the Federal Reserve weighs on USD

* Malaysia’s 10-year govt bond yield fell 1bp Friday to 4.11%

* READ: Emerging Markets Seen Bringing More Pain to Investors in 2019

* Malaysia’s fiscal situation will remain in focus in 2019 with the growth outlook expected to weaken and the govt due to make refunds of tax payments, OCBC wrote in its 2019 global outlook report

** BNM is likely to maintain policy next year, although pressure to ease may emerge in 2H should economic conditions deteriorate and an expected stabilization in EM FX provide room for the central bank to act

* Data due this week include December Nikkei PMI, November trade balance

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