Tuesday 16 Apr 2024
By
main news image

JAKARTA/KUALA LUMPUR (March 8): Malaysian palm oil futures rose on Wednesday, reversing earlier losses, after a leading analyst forecast higher prices in the near term.

Benchmark palm oil futures for May delivery on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange closed 0.6% higher at RM2,875 (US$645.78) per tonne.

Trade was tracking forecasts coming out of a palm industry conference in Kuala Lumpur this week.

Malaysian palm oil futures are expected to rise to RM3,000 a tonne because of tight inventories after last year's drought, though a decline by June is still likely as production recovers, widely followed analyst Dorab Mistry said on Wednesday.

"Mistry made sense. End stocks are low and looks like nearby tightness will still be there," said a palm trader.

Despite the near term bullish forecast, Mistry and others see a dip in prices in the second half of the year.  

Tight supplies following a drought in 2015-16 are expected to support the market over the next two months, but downward pressure should build from May as output picks up in Indonesia and Malaysia, analysts and industry officials said at the conference.

Palm oil may test a support of RM2,820 per tonne, a break below which could cause a further loss to the next support at RM2,783, said Reuters market analyst for commodities and energy technicals Wang Tao.

In related vegetable oils, soybean oil on the Chicago Board of Trade climbed 0.6%, while the May soybean oil contract on the Dalian Commodity Exchange dropped up to 1.9%.

Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 1124 GMT

Contract           Month    Last  Change      Low    High    Volume
MY PALM OIL        MAR7     3000  +26.00     2941    3000        63
MY PALM OIL        APR7     2942  +22.00     2889    2950      2062
MY PALM OIL        MAY7     2871  +16.00     2821    2880     20675
CHINA PALM OLEIN   MAY7     5822  -70.00     5764    5876    463866
CHINA SOYOIL       MAY7     6538  -78.00     6486    6596    364530
CBOT SOY OIL       MAY7    33.92   +5.30    33.66   33.99     10412
INDIA PALM OIL     MAR7   536.50   +5.30   528.10     538      1855
INDIA SOYOIL       MAR7   661.05   +4.35    657.4  662.75     12440
NYMEX CRUDE        APR7    52.71   -0.43    52.63   52.92     77895

Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in US cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
India soy oil in Indian rupee per 10 kg
Crude in US dollars per barrel

(US$1 = RM4.4520)

 

      Print
      Text Size
      Share