Wednesday 24 Apr 2024
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SINGAPORE (Feb 28): Palm oil may break a support at 2,750 ringgit per tonne, and fall more to the next support at 2,703 ringgit, as suggested by its wave pattern and a Fibonacci projection analysis.

These supports are identified respectively as the 261.8% and the 300%  Fibonacci projection levels of a downward wave 3 from the Feb 15 high of 3,075 ringgit. This is the third wave of a five-wave cycle from the Feb 10 high of 3,135.

The fifth wave labeled 5 is driving the trend towards the range of 2,656-2,703 ringgit. Even though it is generally difficult to predict the bottom of the fifth wave, the wave theory and the channel indicate the wave 5 could end in the range of 2,656-2,703 ringgit.

A Fibonacci retracement analysis on the uptrend from the Aug 25, 2015 low of 1,863 ringgit to the Dec 16, 2016 high of 3,202 ringgit reveals a similar target at 2,691 ringgit, the 38.2% level. - by Wang Tao, Reuters

(Wang Tao is a Reuters market analyst for commodities and energy technicals. The views expressed are his own. No information in this analysis should be considered as being business, financial or legal advice. Each reader should consult his or her own professional or other advisers for business, financial or legal advice regarding the products mentioned in the analyses.)

(US$1 = 4.4430 ringgit)

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