Friday 19 Apr 2024
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KUALA LUMPUR (April 14): Hong Leong IB Research has initiated coverage on Petronas Dagangan Bhd (PetDag) at RM20.94 with a “Hold” rating and target price of RM21.14 and said PetDag’s margins were fixed but the actual margins are affected by the movement in oil price.

In a note today, the research house said that in 4QFY14 earnings result, PetDag’s EBIT margin fell quarter-on-quarter from 2.8% to only 0.2% as Brent oil price fell by circa 40% in that quarter.

It said given that oil price bottomed in January and rebounded 17% month-on-month in February, it expects upcoming 1QFY15 result to improve q-o-q.

“Higher free cash flow… Under the managed float mechanism, subsidy receivables (2-3 months delay payment) from government will be effectively removed from PetDag’s balance sheet, resulting in increasing free cash flow.

“Potential higher dividend payout?... With annual operating cash flow of more than RM1 billion and capex of about RM450 million, we assume dividend payout ratio of 70 % (vs. 119% in FY14 and minimal dividend policy of 50%), which translate to 2.3% and 2.7% dividend yield in FY15 and FY16 respectively.

“We initiate the company with a Hold call and target price of RM21.14 based on 26x FY16 P/E (inline with historical average P/E),” it said.

 

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