Gold heading for worst week since Nov on rate hike worries

Gold heading for worst week since Nov on rate hike worries
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(March 3): Gold fell on Friday and was on track for its first weekly decline in five, its worst since November, on growing expectations of a US rate hike as early as this month.

Spot gold dropped 0.3% to US$1,231.31 per ounce at 0730 GMT, after hitting a low of US$1,229.05 earlier in the session. The metal has lost nearly 2.3% so far this week.

US gold futures fell 0.1% to US$1,231.

Increasing chances of a rate hike should keep a lid on any gold rallies leading into the March meeting, MKS PAMP Group trader Sam Laughlin said.

"With (US Federal Reserve) President Janet Yellen on the wires tonight, we look to see further weakness across the precious complex should she, as expected, promote the potential for an interest rate increase in March," Laughlin said.

"Initial support for gold sits around US$1,230, while below this we look to the 100 day moving average at US$1,210."

Yellen and Fed Vice Chair Stanley Fischer are both due to speak later on Friday.

The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits fell to near a 44-year low last week, pointing to further tightening of the labor market even as economic growth appears to have remained moderate in the first quarter.             

A surge in business and consumer confidence during President Donald Trump's first weeks in office has helped push the Fed toward its first sustained series of interest rate hikes in more than a decade, despite a dearth of firm policies from the administration.             

Spot gold may temporarily hover above a support at US$1,232 per ounce and then bounce towards a resistance at US$1,241 before falling again, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.

A correction in gold, however, is likely to be shallow as investors remained friendly to bullion as a hedge against global uncertainty and rising inflation, analysts said.

ABN Amro lifted its year-end 2017 gold price forecast by US$200 to US$1,300 on Thursday, while Commerzbank said any setbacks to prices should be limited and short-lived due to uncertainty over Trump's policies and European elections.

"I don't see gold going below US$1,220, unless the dollar is moving really high as we still see several uncertainties in the first half of the year," said Ronald Leung, chief dealer at Lee Cheong Gold Dealers in Hong Kong.

Holdings of SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, rose 0.21% to 845.32 tonnes on Thursday from Wednesday.

Spot silver held firm at US$17.78, after falling 3.5% to hit a 3-week low of US$17.64 on Thursday. The metal had its worst one-day fall since Dec 15. It is on track to end the week down 3%, its worst since December.

Platinum was steady at US$987, after falling 3% in the previous session to hit one-month low of US$978.75.

Palladium rose 0.1% to US$768.75.