Gold edges toward weekly gain on hopes of dovish Fed

Gold edges toward weekly gain on hopes of dovish Fed
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BENGALURU (Nov 25): Gold inched up on Friday (Nov 25), en route to a weekly gain, buoyed by the US dollar's retreat on a perceived dovish tilt in the US Federal Reserve's interest rate hike strategy.

Spot gold gained 0.2% to US$1,758.41 per ounce by 0223 GMT, and was up 0.5% so far this week. US gold futures rose 0.7% to US$1,758.30.

Silver was flat at US$21.51, but was up about 3% for the week.

A "substantial majority" of Fed policymakers agreed it would "likely soon be appropriate" to slow the pace of rate hikes, the readout of the Nov 1-2 meeting showed on Wednesday.

This put the US dollar on course for a weekly decline, making gold cheaper for overseas buyers. 

The retracement in the US dollar has kept gold well-supported as "the slower pace of rate outlook is being looked upon as a sign of peak hawkishness to further unwind the bearish positioning in the yellow metal built up since the start of the year", said IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong.

But the December FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting will be a "black box" event given the variation in projections before and after recent cooler-than expected US inflation data, leaving gold sensitive to upcoming data as buyers look "for greater conviction that current rate hike expectations are well-anchored".

A majority of traders expect a 50 bps rate increase at the Fed's December meeting, while chances of 75 bps hike were pegged at about 34.5%. 

High interest rates have kept a leash on gold's traditional status as a hedge against high inflation and other uncertainties this year, as they translate into higher opportunity cost to hold the non-yielding asset.

Holdings of the largest gold-backed exchange-traded-fund, New York's SPDR Gold Trust GLD have shed about 68 tonnes since the beginning of this year.

Platinum was little changed at US$988.08, while palladium firmed 0.2% to US$1,883.40.