Tuesday 16 Apr 2024
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(Jan 20): Today, our economist expects Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) to keep its overnight policy rate (OPR) at 1.75%, unchanged since July 2020. 

Although tomorrow’s consumer price index (CPI)/inflation report is likely to show CPI stayed elevated above 3% year-on-year in December 2021 from severe floods and high oil prices, BNM is still wary of downside risks from Covid-19 variant Omicron. 

The central bank is likely to be patient in 1H22 and normalise monetary policy in 2H22. 

USD/MYR closed at 4.1938, slightly above the mid-point of its 4.14-4.24 range since mid-2021. 

According to our model, any attempt to lift USD/MYR will meet resistance at its 4.2140 high on Jan 6 in the near sessions.

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