Palm slides on bearish forecasts, weaker related oils

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KUALA LUMPUR (Sept 6): Malaysian palm oil futures fell for a second straight session on Thursday in its sharpest daily decline in a week on bearish production and inventory forecasts for August, while weakness in related edible oils also weighed.

Palm oil end-stocks in August are likely to have gained 9% to a six-month high of 2.41 million tonnes and output was seen rising 9.9% to 1.65 million tonnes, a Reuters poll showed.

The benchmark palm oil contract for November delivery on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange was down 0.6% at RM2,277 (US$549.60) a tonne at the close of trade, having hit a two-month high of RM2,303 in the previous session before finishing in negative territory.

Trading volumes stood at 26,289 lots of 25 tonnes each at the close of trade.

"All the polls ahead of official data are bearish," said one Singapore-based futures trader, referring to the Reuters poll and forecasts by industry analysts.

Another futures trader said the market also tracked overnight losses in soyoil on the Chicago Board of Trade.

The Chicago September soybean oil contract was down 0.1% on Thursday after shedding 0.7% in the previous session on renewed concerns over US-China trade.

US President Donald Trump said on Wednesday that the United States was not ready to come to an agreement in its trade dispute with China but that talks would continue.

In related oils, the January soybean oil contract on China's Dalian Commodity Exchange edged up by 0.03%, while the Dalian January palm oil contract dipped by 0.04%.  

Palm oil prices are impacted by movements of other edible oils, as they compete for a share in the global vegetable oils market.

Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 1049 GMT

Contract          Month    Last  Change     Low   High   Volume
MY PALM OIL       SEP8     2223  -15.00    2223   2233        2
MY PALM OIL       OCT8     2255  -15.00    2250   2267      764
MY PALM OIL       NOV8     2275  -14.00    2272   2290    12710
CHINA PALM OLEIN  JAN9     4946   -2.00    4922   4950   250174
CHINA SOYOIL      JAN9     5874   +2.00    5850   5882   229326
CBOT SOY OIL      SEP8    28.15   -0.03   28.15  28.15      208
INDIA PALM OIL    SEP8   606.50   +3.40  602.00  606.9      966
INDIA SOYOIL      SEP8    745.5   +2.65     741  746.7     8120
NYMEX CRUDE       OCT8    68.77   +0.05   68.41  68.95    92569

Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in US cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
India soy oil in Indian rupee per 10 kg
Crude in US dollars per barrel

(US$1 = RM4.1430)
(US$1 = 71.9200 Indian rupees)
(US$1 = 6.8307 Chinese yuan)