Thursday 25 Apr 2024
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KUALA LUMPUR (Sept 7): Standard Chartered recommends selling USD/MYR via 3-month onshore deliverable forwards with spot target of 4.00 and stop-loss of 4.36, strategist Divya Devesh writes in a report.

* MYR remains among the most undervalued EM FX

** Real effective exchange rate is well below historical average and still close to 1997 levels: report

* Foreign investors’ overall positioning remains extremely light in the historical context, and MYR also benefits from Malaysia’s strong linkage in the global supply chain amid robust global export volumes

* MYR sentiment onshore has improved with better USD supply dynamics; onshore FX turnover is well off its late-2015 lows and onshore foreign currency deposits have turned a corner

* Strong pace of 1H growth increases risk of a pick-up in core inflation, and if growth continues to surprise on the upside, expectations for a rate hike may build up

* NOTE: USD/MYR down 0.3% to 4.2455 Wednesday, lowest in 10 months

 

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