Palm supported by weaker ringgit, steady crude oil

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KUALA LUMPUR (July 30): Malaysian palm oil futures rose in Monday evening trade, recording a third session of gains in four on support from a weaker ringgit and steady crude oil prices.

Palm's gains however will be capped by expectations of rising production, traders add.

The benchmark palm oil contract for October delivery on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange rose 0.3% to 2,192 ringgit (US$540.57) a tonne at the end of the trading day.

Trading volume stood at 34,693 lots of 25 tonnes each at the close of trade.

"The market is slow today ... But crude oil is higher and the ringgit is weak," said a Kuala Lumpur-based futures trader.

Gains were likely to be limited "on looming concerns of high July production," said a second trader.

Palm oil's movements are affected by the ringgit, its currency of trade. A weaker ringgit usually makes the edible oil cheaper for holders of foreign currencies. The currency eased 0.1% around noon on Monday, before reversing losses to rise 0.1% at 4.0550 against the dollar, but was still trading at more than six-month lows.

Meanwhile, rising production is expected to contribute to growing inventories and weigh on prices. Traders expect July output to rise in line with seasonal trends, also coming off a low production base in June.

In other related oils, the Chicago December soybean oil contract edged down 0.1%, while the September soybean oil contract on China's Dalian Commodity Exchange rose 1.2%.

The Dalian September palm oil contract rose 0.5%.

Palm oil prices are influenced by the performance of other edible oils, as they compete for a share in the global vegetable oils market.

Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 1053 GMT

Contract Month Last Change Low High Volume
MY PALM OIL AUG8 2128 +7.00 2128 2140 77
MY PALM OIL SEP8 2171 +7.00 2164 2181 2832
MY PALM OIL OCT8 2191 +6.00 2186 2204 14505
CHINA PALM OLEIN JAN9 4852 +30.00 4830 4866 161260
CHINA SOYOIL JAN9 5814 +64.00 5768 5826 233198
CBOT SOY OIL DEC8 28.99 -0.04 28.97 29.16 5094
INDIA PALM OIL JUL8 618.60 +0.90 616.80 618.6 117
INDIA SOYOIL AUG8 743 +0.65 740.3 744.4 5380
NYMEX CRUDE SEP8 69.62 +0.93 68.80 69.63 100057

Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
India soy oil in Indian rupee per 10 kg
Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel

(US$1 = 4.0550 ringgit)
(US$1 = 68.6700 Indian rupees)
(US$1 = 6.8205 Chinese yuan)