Saturday 20 Apr 2024
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SINGAPORE (March 2): Palm oil may rise to a resistance at RM2,880 per tonne as it has broken above a resistance at RM2,820.

These resistances are identified respectively as the 38.2% and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracements of the downtrend from the Feb 10 high of 3,135 to the Feb 28 low of RM2,723.

The trend could be well broken down into five small waves. This structure indicates a completion of the downtrend from the Dec 19, 2016 high of RM3,202.

Sharp and deep as it is, the trend could be regarded as a pullback towards the neckline of an inverted head-and-shoulders developing between July 26, 2013 and Oct 17, 2016. This pattern suggests a target around RM3,800.

A further drop from the current level may be limited to RM2,783.

(Wang Tao is a Reuters market analyst for commodities and energy technicals. The views expressed are his own. No information in this analysis should be considered as being business, financial or legal advice. Each reader should consult his or her own professional or other advisers for business, financial or legal advice regarding the products mentioned in the analyses.)

 

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