Friday 19 Apr 2024
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SINGAPORE (Feb 21): Palm oil is due for a bounce, as suggested by it wave pattern, a falling channel and the hourly RSI. The contract is riding on a downward wave c, the third wave of a three-wave cycle from the Dec 19, 2016 high of RM3,202. The last part of this wave has been unfolding within a channel, which provides a support in the range of RM2,797–2,823, formed by the 200% and the 186.4% Fibonacci projection levels of the wave c. The bullish divergence on the RSI indicates palm oil has technically become very strong and is due for a bounce similar to the one from the Jan 31 low of RM3,014. Resistance is at RM2,869, a break above which may lead to a gain to RM2,914.

(Wang Tao is a Reuters market analyst for commodities and energy technicals. The views expressed are his own. No information in this analysis should be considered as being business, financial or legal advice. Each reader should consult his or her own professional or other advisers for business, financial or legal advice regarding the products mentioned in the analyses.)

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