Thursday 18 Apr 2024
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This article first appeared in The Edge Financial Daily on May 8, 2018

KUALA LUMPUR: Pakatan Harapan will form the next government, says Invoke Malaysia, claiming that the opposition coalition can win half of the country’s 222 parliamentary seats from Peninsular Malaysia alone.

The group, headed by Pakatan lawmaker Mohd Rafizi Ramli, made the prediction based on its latest survey among voters in the peninsula.

The survey showed that Pakatan will win 111 of the 165 parliamentary seats being contested in the peninsula, with Barisan Nasional (BN) securing the other 54 seats.

PAS, while commanding a quarter of the Malay votes, will nevertheless be unable to garner enough support to win any seats throughout the peninsula, Invoke claimed.

In terms of state seats, Pakatan is expected to win 253 seats, while BN is predicted to win the remaining 192 state seats up for contest, Invoke said in a statement yesterday.

Invoke said it conducted the survey among 11,991 registered voters across the 12 states in Peninsular Malaysia over the course of two weeks, that was updated as of last Thursday.

The survey’s findings which were grouped by states, showed Pakatan winning the majority of the votes in Kedah, Pulau Pinang, Perak, Selangor, Federal Territory, Negeri Sembilan, Melaka and Johor.

The states expected to be won by BN are Kelantan, Terengganu, Perlis, and Pahang.

According to the data from Invoke, BN is not expected to win any of the parliamentary or state seats in Selangor, as Pakatan will make a clean sweep of all the 22 parliamentary and 56 state seats.

Over in Federal Territory, Pakatan will win 11 out of the 12 parliamentary seats being contested, Invoke claimed.

Pakatan is also expected to win the majority in Perak, taking 16 out of the 24 parliamentary seats and 38 out of the 59 state seats up for contest.

Invoke also does not see BN taking any parliamentary seats in Pulau Pinang, with Pakatan expected to sweep all 13 of the seats.

States that are expected to go in favour of BN include Pahang, where BN is expected to win eight out of the 14 parliamentary seats up for contest, and 27 out of the 42 state seats.

Terengganu is also expected to vote dark blue, with BN expected to sweep all eight parliamentary seats being contested and 31 out of 32 state seats.

In Kelantan, BN is predicted to take 13 out of the 14 parliamentary seats being contested, and 42 out of the 45 state seats, according to the survey.

Invoke expects a Pakatan win in Johor, with 21 out of the 26 parliamentary seats and 39 out of the 56 state seats going to the coalition comprising PKR, DAP, Parti Pribumi Bersatu Malaysia and Parti Amanah Negara.

Melaka too is expected to go into Pakatan’s favour, with the coalition securing four out of the six parliamentary seats and 17 out of the 28 state seats.

In Negeri Sembilan, five out of the eight parliamentary seats are expected to fall into Pakatan’s hands, as well as 20 out of the 36 state seats, according to the survey.

Invoke also predicts a win for BN in Perlis, with two out of three parliamentary seats and nine out of the 15 state seats going to the incumbent coalition.

On the other hand, Kedah is expected to fall into the hands of Pakatan, winning 11 out of 15 parliamentary seats and 21 out of the 36 state seats.

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