Thursday 25 Apr 2024
By
main news image
KUALA LUMPUR: Maybank Investment Research has raised its crude palm oil  CPO) price assumption to RM2,000 per tonne from RM1,600 following the current high price of RM2,800 and year-to-date RM2,178 average.

“We do not foresee CPO prices staying at current levels beyond 2Q due to rising 2H production and slowing exports,” it said in a report dated on May 21.

The research house said the present CPO price was 81% to 123% above its long term historical price in US dollar and ringgit equivalents.

“Earnings per share (EPS) forecasts are upgraded by up to more than 100% but company valuations remain stretched. Maintain Underweight,” it said.

Maybank Research said the recent 40% spike to the RM2,800 level from an average of RM1,950 in 1Q09 as too fast, too furious. Traders and speculators justified the high price on tight inventory.

However, the research house said a significant price correction in 2H is imminent as inventory was expected to build up on slowing exports and stronger 2H production.

It added the present CPO price was 81% and 123% above its 30-year long term historical price in US dollar and ringgit equivalents of US$430 and RM1,257 respectively.

      Print
      Text Size
      Share