Sunday 19 May 2024
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KUALA LUMPUR (July 25): Malaysia is unlikely going to sustain its double-digit exports growth streak in the long term due to capacity constraints, according to Sunway University Business School economics professor Dr Yeah Kim Leng.

"We expect the [double-digit] export growth to continue for the next couple of months at least, based on strong PMI [Purchasing Managers Index] seen in other countries, particularly China.

"However, due to capacity constraints, it is not likely to continue for long. Let's say in the next six to nine months, I think it will slow down as most industries are recording over 80% capacity utilisation," he told reporters at the sidelines of the 2017 International Monetary Fund-Bank Negara Malaysia Summer Conference today.

Malaysia's exports in May 2017 grew by 32.5% to RM79.4 billion, marking six consecutive months of double-digit growth.

On whether there are growing government debt concerns due to heavy inflow of investment from China, Yeah said a proper plan needs to be put in place by the relevant authorities to look into the total costs of the funding provided.

"We need to have a proper plan and agency look into the total costs of funding all these projects, and the plan needs to ensure there is no inter-generation transfer of debts, and most importantly, to ensure we do have the debt-servicing capacities.

"I am sure the government continues to maintain its ability to repay these projects, but we need to be vigilant, especially with the [funding] of the big projects," he said.

 

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